{"id":140882,"date":"2026-02-07T02:51:06","date_gmt":"2026-02-07T02:51:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/?p=140882"},"modified":"2026-02-07T02:51:06","modified_gmt":"2026-02-07T02:51:06","slug":"50-on-war-in-iran-how-geopolitical-bets-have-surged-on-polymarket-in-five-charts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/50-on-war-in-iran-how-geopolitical-bets-have-surged-on-polymarket-in-five-charts\/","title":{"rendered":"$50 on war in Iran: How geopolitical bets have surged on Polymarket, in five charts"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"post-header post-header--conveyor\">\n<div class=\"post-header__text\">\n<header class=\"article-header\">\n<div class=\"post-subheader has-summary\">\n<div class=\"post-subheader__summary\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"summary\">\n<div class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__small__1kGq2 body__full_width__ekUdw body__small_body__2vQyf article-body__paragraph__2-BtD\" data-testid=\"paragraph-0\">\n<div class=\"post-subheader has-summary\">\n<div class=\"post-subheader__summary\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"summary\">\n<div class=\"post-subheader has-summary\">\n<div class=\"post-subheader__summary\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"summary\">\n<div class=\"post-subheader has-summary\">\n<div class=\"post-subheader__summary\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"summary\">\n<div class=\"post-subheader has-summary\">\n<div class=\"post-subheader__summary\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"summary\">\n<p>Want to bet on whether the U.S. will attack Iran? An increasing number of people are using Polymarket and similar online prediction markets to gamble on war and other geopolitical events. The payoffs can be thousands, even millions.<\/p>\n<p>These platforms have grown in popularity since the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/01\/19\/technology\/polymarket-kalshi-prediction-markets.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2024 U.S. presidential elections<\/a>, which drew significant interest from geopolitical gamblers. Although most online bets are still placed on sports, Polymarket, Kalshi, and other prediction markets have wagers available for a wide range of subjects \u2014 from the Oscars to Spotify charts and the potential for another U.S. government shutdown.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"su-button-center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/restofworld.org\/2026\/polymarket-online-betting-politics-war-charts\/\" class=\"su-button su-button-style-default\" style=\"color:#FFFFFF;background-color:#68cf8a;border-color:#54a66f;border-radius:10px\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"color:#FFFFFF;padding:8px 26px;font-size:20px;line-height:30px;border-color:#96deae;border-radius:10px;text-shadow:none\"><i class=\"sui sui-sign-out\" style=\"font-size:20px;color:#FFFFFF\"><\/i>  <small style=\"padding-bottom:8px;color:#FFFFFF\">Click here for full article at Rest of World<\/small><\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Want to bet on whether the U.S. will attack Iran? An increasing number of people are using Polymarket and similar online prediction markets to gamble on war and other geopolitical &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1549,"featured_media":140885,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[794,54,1879,5],"tags":[1155,2663,1425,378,2902],"class_list":["post-140882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-digital","category-finance-sector","category-money","category-news","tag-big-tech","tag-gambling","tag-geopolitics","tag-marketisation","tag-polymarket"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/140882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1549"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=140882"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/140882\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/140885"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=140882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=140882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.themintmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=140882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}